Archive:
Europe
Rumors have been spreading across trading floors that the Fed may lower the penalty for using its dollar liquidity swap line to reduce stress in the interbank market. As I mentioned in a previous note, a 100bp ‘penalty’ over the overnight indexed swap (OIS) rate for the Fed’s dollar liquidity swap line is preventing the […]
After stabilizing from 5/20 to 5/24 AUDJPY’s decline has returned with a vengeance falling to 72.88 from 74.63 a day prior. The currency pairs stability over the last few days led some to believe the market could be approaching a bottom. Other notable risk indicators moving this morning include the TED spread, now up to […]
http://www.bloomberg.com/insight/euro-breach.html Here is an interactive graphic from Bloomberg highlighting the divergence of the Euro-Zone from their own financial criteria since the currency was introduced.
Global markets may be converging on a new ‘volatile’ norm as investors revalue risk, as governments begin the painful process of deleveraging to more sustainable debt levels. Thus far fears of sovereign defaults have remained contained to the usual suspects—fundamentally weak nations—leading investors to flock to the safe-havens of the U.S., Japan, and Germany. Risk […]
According to Bloomberg: SNB Vice Chairman Thomas Jordan said earlier today that the central bank has “countered” pressure on the franc during the financial crisis. “During the financial crisis, there has been much pressure on the Swiss franc which appreciated,” Jordan said in Wettingen, Switzerland. “The SNB has countered that pressure so that until now […]
Political risk, typically a relative constant in trading, has investors running for the doors this morning as concerns grow around Germany’s real intentions behind its short-selling ban, along with what regulations might come next. Uncertainty is being compounded by the financial overhaul debate taking place currently in DC. One comment that especially caught traders’ attentions […]
As of this morning, not only have US equities (as measured by the MSCI)outpaced their global counterparts, but on a year-to-date basis it’s the only index still showing gains, albeit somewhat modest. Interestingly, as of this week the spread between the MSCI US and MSCI World index reached its highest spread of the year, mostly due to […]
Chatter’s spreading across Swiss trading floors that the country’s national bank has begun loosely managing the CHF/EUR exchange rate; preventing it to go below the 1.40 level despite prevailing trends. Traders are indicating that the Swiss National Bank have a large bid around the 1.40 level to keep the currency in check. The country’s small […]
European equity markets and the Eurozone currency look to be pricing in separate outlooks for the future of the Eurozone after an unprecedented rescue package. As the chart below highlights, European equities as tracked by the MSCI European index has rebounded sharply from its pre-bailout low–surely aided by the ECB’s recent actions–, while the Euro […]