http://www.bloomberg.com/insight/euro-breach.html Here is an interactive graphic from Bloomberg highlighting the divergence of the Euro-Zone from their own financial criteria since the currency was introduced.
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MikeMcD82
One year inflation expectations, as tracked by the breakeven rate for U.S. Treasury Inflated Protected Securities (TIPS), have fallen to almost 0%, while the more often quoted two year rate plummeted to 0.7% (see chart). While longer-term inflation expectations have diminished, albeit at a much smaller magnitude, the spread between 2Y and 5Y rates has […]
Global markets may be converging on a new ‘volatile’ norm as investors revalue risk, as governments begin the painful process of deleveraging to more sustainable debt levels. Thus far fears of sovereign defaults have remained contained to the usual suspects—fundamentally weak nations—leading investors to flock to the safe-havens of the U.S., Japan, and Germany. Risk […]
According to Bloomberg: SNB Vice Chairman Thomas Jordan said earlier today that the central bank has “countered” pressure on the franc during the financial crisis. “During the financial crisis, there has been much pressure on the Swiss franc which appreciated,” Jordan said in Wettingen, Switzerland. “The SNB has countered that pressure so that until now […]
Political risk, typically a relative constant in trading, has investors running for the doors this morning as concerns grow around Germany’s real intentions behind its short-selling ban, along with what regulations might come next. Uncertainty is being compounded by the financial overhaul debate taking place currently in DC. One comment that especially caught traders’ attentions […]
The prevailing trend across trading floors this morning is a rare lack of conviction. One contact said, “It is silent here, everyone is just sitting staring at their screens, no one has any convictions”. This loss in confidence could lead to oversized reactions—volatility—to breaking news; especially further negative developments in Europe. The VIX Index, which […]
Rising producer prices eventually translate into higher consumer prices as businesses are forced to pass on a portion if not all of the price increments to their customers. So what you might be asking, this morning’s PPI indicated that producer prices fell -0.1% on a monthly basis. While this is true the PPI is broken […]
Defying most investors’ expectations, LIBOR’s climb has continued unabated, despite the reopening of the Fed’s Reciprocal Currency Swap lines. According to the ECB’s records on May 11th seven bidders tapped USD9.2bn of the swaps at a rate of 1.22%, or nearly 100bps above the OIS funding rate. Ray Stone of Stone & McCarthy Research Associates, […]
Credit card delinquencies declined in April for the fourth straight month, indicating that consumers are gaining traction. Diminishing delinquency and default rates could eventually lead lenders to reduce strict lending standards; following significant tightening subsequent to the subprime crisis. On this note, more lenient lending standards could have wider implications for the U.S. economy, which […]
As of this morning, not only have US equities (as measured by the MSCI)outpaced their global counterparts, but on a year-to-date basis it’s the only index still showing gains, albeit somewhat modest. Interestingly, as of this week the spread between the MSCI US and MSCI World index reached its highest spread of the year, mostly due to […]