This week will primarily focus on earnings, with housing data acting as an intriguing side story. Companies expected to report earnings this week include: AMR Inc. (AMR), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), CSX (CSX), EBay (EBAY), GE (GE), Goldman-Sachs (GS), Google (GOOG) IBM (IBM), Morgan Stanley (MS), and Wells Fargo (WFC). The housing side […]
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Housing Starts
There is no doubt that this week’s FOMC meeting will steal the economic headlines, however, the result is likely to be rather anticlimactic. I do not anticipate any major changes to the FOMC’s statement, and certainly no shift in the target rate—despite last month’s better than expected employment data. The Fed will not view a […]
October’s Housing Starts disappointed the market finishing at an annual rate of 529,000 (-10.6%), while September’s release was revised up to 592K from 590K. Permit’s in October declined -4.0%, to 552K. Single-family starts fell -6.8%, while multi-family homes plummeted by -34.6%. The Bloomberg consensus forecast was for starts at 600K, with forecasts ranging from 570K […]
September Housing Starts finished the month at an annual rate of 590K (+0.5%). At the same time, August Housing Starts were revised down to 587K versus its original release of 598K. Housing permits declined by -1.2%, to 573K. Unlike starts, August permits experienced a modest upward revision to 580K from 579K. Single-family starts rose +3.9%, […]
On the economic front the market will be encountering some important housing related releases in addition to the Fed’s Beige Book on Wednesday. On the housing front, on Monday the market will get a peak at October’s NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, followed by housing starts on Tuesday. However, the most important housing release of […]
August housing starts rose 1.5% to 0.598mn, compared to a consensus estimate of 0.600mn. Looking further into the details, single-family starts are down -3.0%, while multi-unit homes grew by +25.5%.In August permits rose by 2.7%, to 579K. July’s permits were revised to 564K from 560K. Going forward there could be some downside risks to this […]
After last week’s relatively light economic calendar, the market faces a deluge of data from nearly every facet of the economy. With that said this week’s most closely watched release will likely be Tuesday’s retail sales announcement, which is expected to show a +2.0% gain on the back of increased auto-sales and higher gas prices, […]
Housing starts fell to 0.581 in July compared to 0.587mn. This number was slightly below the market consensus. The 1% drop in starts comes after a 10% increase in July. Single family starts actually rose 1.7%, but this was more than offset by a 13% decline in multi-family starts. Starts fell 16% in the Northeast, […]
This week will provide us with our first peak into this month’s manufacturing and housing sector data with Monday’s Empire State Manufacturing Survey and NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. They will be followed up later in the week with the Philly Fed manufacturing survey, and both housing starts and existing home sales on the housing […]
June housing starts came in this morning well above expectations increasing 3.6%, totaling 582K (SAAR) units. Economists has been anticipating 530K. This is the index’s second consecutive month of gains, which could indicate some stabilization for the sector. There were also some positive revisions to April’s and May’s starts numbers. The increase was due to […]