December’s Industrial Production rose +0.6%, inline with a Bloomberg consensus forecast of +0.6%. November’s release was revised to +0.8% to +0.6%. December’s reading was almost entirely due to a 5.9% jump in utilities stemming from extremely cold weather around the country. The index’s manufacturing component actually fell -0.1% during the month, while mining output rose […]
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Empire State Manufacturing Survey
With employment out of the way—for now—onto earnings; Alcoa is scheduled to kick of the 4Q09 earnings season with its report on Monday. Earnings might be stealing most of the show this week, but don’t count out economic data with the release of a critically important retail sales release on Thursday and a torrent of […]
There is no doubt that this week’s FOMC meeting will steal the economic headlines, however, the result is likely to be rather anticlimactic. I do not anticipate any major changes to the FOMC’s statement, and certainly no shift in the target rate—despite last month’s better than expected employment data. The Fed will not view a […]
The last full week in November brings with it its fair share of economic data, Fed talk, and a few important earnings stragglers. The general themes of the week will be housing, manufacturing, inflation, and the consumer. On the economic front, October’s retail sales—released on Monday—should steal the show, followed up by October’s industrial production […]
September’s CPI rose +0.2%, compared to a +0.4% increment a month prior. Core CPI increased +0.2%. This was generally in-line with the Bloomberg consensus forecast. Food prices fell -0.1% during the month while energy prices rose +0.6%. These modest gains continue to indicate that some deflationary risk remains on the table, and inflation should not […]
Despite a holiday on Monday, we have a busy week on all fronts, combing a deep economic calendar with a flurry of critical earnings releases. On the economics front the two most important indicators are retail sales on Wednesday and CPI on Thursday. September’s retail sales could face some negative pressure on the back of […]
August’s Retail Sales rose 2.7%, compared to a consensus forecast of +2.0% and a previous reading in July of -0.1%. The ex-autos component of retail sales came in at 1.1%, versus a consensus forecast of +0.4% and a previous reading of -0.6% in July. Therefore, what is typically a bump in sales due to better […]
After last week’s relatively light economic calendar, the market faces a deluge of data from nearly every facet of the economy. With that said this week’s most closely watched release will likely be Tuesday’s retail sales announcement, which is expected to show a +2.0% gain on the back of increased auto-sales and higher gas prices, […]
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey moved back into positive territory for the first time in over a year in August with a reading of +12.08 from -0.55. This is the index’s highest reading since November 2007. New orders rose to +13.43 from +5.89, the prices paid index increased to +13.83 from +10.42m and the The […]
This week will provide us with our first peak into this month’s manufacturing and housing sector data with Monday’s Empire State Manufacturing Survey and NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. They will be followed up later in the week with the Philly Fed manufacturing survey, and both housing starts and existing home sales on the housing […]