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drys

Cantor Upgrades DryShips (DRYS) To ‘Buy’ From ‘Hold’

From Cantor Report: “ Cantor/DRYS: We Upgrade DRYS To BUY (From HOLD) On Valuation, Rig Exposure * We raise our price target to $8 (from $7) based on our 7.0x EV/EBITDA multiple to our new 2010 EBITDA forecast of $558 million (from $544 million). Given the discrepancy between our target and the current stock price, […]

Is a Falling Greenback Leading to Smooth Sailing for Shippers?

I have received several inquiries regarding the recent divergence between the BDI and my dry bulk shipping index (DBSI), and thought I should touch on the subject.  First and foremost I believe that a large portion of the divergence can be explained as a US dollar story.  Also, recent weakness has been mostly isolated to […]

US Railroad Activity Not a Bright Spot for Shipping Rates

As seaborne shipping acts as the bridge for global trade, the US’s railroad and trucking systems are the backbone of domestic bulk transport. It goes without saying that at some point the majority of goods imported to or exported from the US likely find themselves traveling on a rail car or truck before reaching their […]

Unusual Rally in DryShips (DRYS)

I noticed an unusual rally in DryShips (DRYS) today, which closed up an astonishing 13.6%.  At first I attributed this advance to positive sentiment stemming from better than anticipated new home sales, coupled with speculation over the company’s earnings data and a higher BDI, but after looking at the performance of the rest of the […]

Consumer Confidence Disappoints, Shipping Stocks Suffer

As I highlighted in my column on TheStreet.com on Monday shipping stocks will be highly susceptible to any major economic news impacting market’s views on the long-term outlook. This mornings consumer confidence number was proof of that, tumbling to 49.3 compared to 54.8 last month. Both the present situation index and the future situation index […]

FFA Market Rises

Forward Freight Agreements (FFAs), especially for capesize contracts, appreciated significantly today leading to strong trading in the dry bulk sector. BDI FFA Curve Source: Imarex BCI FFA Curve Source: Imarex Market and Sector Performance:Source: Bloomberg, my calculations, Capital Link Shipping