Janurary’s non-manufacturing ISM release rose modestly to 50.5 versus 49.8 in December. This was just below the Bloomberg consensus forecast of 51.0. The employment index rose to 44.6 from 43.6, while the prices paid index climbed to 61.2 from 59.6. The new orders index took a bit of a bounce in January moving to 54.7 […]
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Non-Manufacturing ISM
The December non-manufacturing ISM came in at 50.1 versus 48.7, a month prior. The Bloomberg consensus forecast was 50.5 with estimates ranging from 48.0 to 52.1. The all important employment index finished December at 44.0 versus 41.6 in November. The prices paid index remained well above 50 coming in at 58.7 from 57.8. The standalone […]
It is unlikely that this morning’s ADP data (-203K), will lead to any substantial payroll revisions, despite what was a stellar ISM employment index. I wanted to note that over the decades, as the US has shifted from a manufacturing to service oriented economy, the significance of the relationship between the manufacturing ISM’s employment index […]
July’s non-manufacturing ISM came in at 46.4, compared to last month’s reading of 47.0 in June, and a market consensus of 48.2. July’s employment index moved to 41.5 from 43.4. The prices paid index moved to 41.3 from 53.7. Weakness in the employment index coupled with a weaker than anticipated ADP report could place negative […]