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LIBOR

Risk Makes a Comeback

Investors are feeling more at ease with the uncertainty facing global market.  The AUD/JPY exchange rate—a popular FX carry trade and risk metric—has moved off of its recent lows of less than 74 to a level of 79.4.  At the same time, 3M LIBOR halted its climb, and has remained fairly steady around 0.54%, albeit […]

Why Central Bank Swaps Haven’t Put a Stop to LIBOR’s Climb

Defying most investors’ expectations, LIBOR’s climb has continued unabated, despite the reopening of the Fed’s Reciprocal Currency Swap lines.    According to the ECB’s records on May 11th seven bidders tapped USD9.2bn of the swaps at a rate of 1.22%, or nearly 100bps above the OIS funding rate.  Ray Stone of Stone & McCarthy Research Associates, […]

TED Spread Begins to Spike: Counterparty Risk Rises

Fear is beginning to seep into the European financial system with LIBOR rates edging up; leading to a sharp rise in the three month TED Spread (tracking 3M LIBOR against 3M US Treasuries). While nowhere near its crisis high of over 450bps, the TED Spread has enlarged to 32bps from just 19bps on May 3rd. […]

Lehman’s Impact on the BDI & Shipping (Then & Now)

In retrospect, the widespread panic that engulfed the world’s financial markets after the fall of Lehman Brothers may have been somewhat overblown considering the actual long-term impact of the event, which was significantly mitigated through innovative monetary policy.  But at the time, this did not prevent an almost immediate shut-down of credit markets around the […]